Event Type: Event

Webinar on demand: How are residual values and new and used cars holding up in Switzerland?

Paired with supply-chain disruptions and ongoing component shortages, the energy crisis and rising costs of living are impacting automotive markets across Europe. Even Switzerland – one of the world’s most stable vehicle markets – cannot escape these latest developments. So, how are the country’s used and new-car markets holding up and how are residual values (RVs) developing?

This and other questions were addressed by Eurotax Switzerland (part of the Autovista Group) in its latest webinar, Automotive Trends in Switzerland. Robert Madas (regional head of valuations, Austria, Poland, Switzerland) was joined by Hans-Peter Annen (head of valuations, Switzerland) and Patrick Schneider (deputy valuations and quality manager, Switzerland) to analyse recent market traits.

One key development is the rising prices of new passenger cars and light-commercial vehicles. As Annen explained, list prices are going up for a number of reasons; there are real price increases and also a change in the model mix. New vehicles are also becoming more connected and carry the latest technology, including advanced-driver assistance systems. Additionally, electrification is having an impact on list prices as battery-electric vehicles (BEVs) tend to be more expensive than their fossil fuel-based counterparts.

Development of list prices for passenger cars, Switzerland, 2013-2022

Source: Autovista Group

As is well known, 2019 was the last ‘normal’ year for the automotive industry. New-car registrations have seen steep declines since COVID-19 disrupted markets in 2020 and 2021. While some had hoped for a recovery in 2022, the war in Ukraine is fuelling further uncertainty. Switzerland is less reliant on Russian gas than neighbouring Germany, with inflation being significantly lower than elsewhere in Europe, but a sense of disillusion remains.  

There are ongoing concerns that the current energy crisis could negatively impact the further development of electromobility. The Swiss automotive industry association Auto-Schweiz said this month that in the short term, the country’s power supply for the coming winter must be secured ‘through effective measures on the production side and through sensible savings on the consumption side.’

The body emphasised that in the medium to long term, the nation should push ahead with the expansion of low-CO2 domestic electricity production to become as independent as possible, and also to power EVs. The association monitors new-car registrations in Switzerland, which have seen further declines this year.

Improvement not in sight

‘Since 2020, we have recorded historically low new-car registrations. In 2022, too, new-car registrations have so far lagged behind the unsatisfactory levels of the two previous years. An improvement is not in sight under these conditions,’ said Annen.

New-car registrations have dropped by 30% from January to August this year, compared to the same period in 2019. The share of new petrol and diesel passenger cars continues to shrink while BEVs, hybrid-electric vehicles (HEVs), and plug-in hybrids (PHEVs) have grown significantly in the past three years. Their combined market share has reached almost 49% so far this year. Meanwhile, LCV registrations are significantly down in 2022 – the second time since the pandemic hit, Annen cautioned.

Making up ground

Fewer vehicles on the new-car market mean fewer cars on the used-car market, which started to recover in 2021, nudging up 1.1% year on year. However, things are different in 2022. During the first half of the year, 390,649 cars changed ownership compared to 426,971 during the same period in the prior year, marking a notable decline.

Changes of ownership for passenger cars, Switzerland, January-June 2013-2022

Source: Autovista Group

‘This confirms that the low number of new-car registrations since 2020 has had a negative impact on changes of ownership, as there is simply no new supply,’ said Schneider. But is it all doom and gloom?

‘Hybrids, battery-electric vehicles, and plug-in hybrids are continuing to make up ground and can gain market share. In the passenger-car segment, offers have recovered somewhat and offer days have increased again,’ added Schneider.

Used LCVs have not quite reached the same level during the first half of 2022 compared to 2021 but are still above levels seen in 2020. Motorhomes in particular have gained market share, with Schneider saying that the supply of second-hand LCVs has been stable for months, albeit at a low level.

Higher RVs expected in 2022

Madas highlighted some residual-values trends. ‘By the end of 2022, we expect higher residual values for all fuel types,’ he said.

For 36-month-old vehicles, Madas is anticipating a year-on-year rise of 11%. He noted that RVs of young BEVs, ranging from 12-36 months, have seen a particular increase. Among 12-month-old cars, BEVs even take first place in terms of RV retention, with a retail value of 82.3% on average. Apart from BEVs, RVs of older cars, those exceeding four to five years of age, as well as diesel cars, have seen the steepest rise.

RV trends in Switzerland since January 2020

Source: Autovista Group

Demand has remained relatively stable so far and supply is inching up, too, despite long delivery times and fewer new cars entering the market. However, as the demand side starts to weaken already, pressure on RVs is to be expected.

Offer prices continued to rise during the first six months of 2022 but are now stabilising. On average, prices are up 16% compared to February 2020. Looking further ahead, however, RVs are projected to decline slightly in 2023.

Find the full slide deck for the presentation (in German) below. A video of the webinar is also available for viewing and download.

Autovista24 Webinar: Europe’s light-commercial vehicle market – The road ahead for new and used vans

Europe’s light-commercial vehicle (LCV) market was one of the few automotive sectors that weathered the COVID-19 pandemic, with steady sales and residual values comparable to pre-pandemic levels. But as countries across the continent open for business again, the market has been hit by supply shortages, while electrification is proving more difficult than passenger-car sectors.

Autovista24’s latest webinar, Europe’s light-commercial vehicle market – The road ahead for new and used vans, will answer some of the big questions about the outlooks for the sector, in both pricing and technology.

Taking place on 14 June at 11.00 CEST (12.00 Finnish time), our 60-minute webinar will review:

  • How economic pressures are affecting the LCV market
  • How much more challenging is the sector compared to those for passenger-cars
  • Are new-LCV prices rising more quickly than the new car market?
  • The pressures on residual values in today’s market
  • How are electric vans changing the LCV sector
  • Insights from key European markets

Submitting questions
You can send any questions on the above topics to Autovista24 editor Phil Curry, who will be chairing the session before or during the webinar. We will endeavour to answer them throughout the event and at the end in a dedicated Q&A session.

  • During the webinar, you will be able to hear from a panel of experts, including:
  • Dr Christof Engelskirchen, Chief Economist, Autovista Group
  • Christian Schneider, Head of Analytics, Autovista Group
  • Andy Picton, Chief Editor (CV), Glass’s
  • Andreas Geilenbruegge, Regional Head of Valuations, Germany, Nordics, UK, Autovista Group

Who should attend?
Europe’s light-commercial vehicle market – The road ahead for new and used vans will be of interest to anyone looking to learn more about the European commercial vehicle market’s stability, trends, and dynamics. This includes:

• Fleet, leasing and hire companies
• Vehicle manufacturers and suppliers
• Finance providers
• Consultancies and advisors
• Dealers, both independent and franchised
• Insurance companies

Webinar on demand – Automotive megatrends: the effect on used car markets

Our panel of experts shed light on automotive megatrends and what they mean for used car markets over the next five years.

Get insight on:

  • Which of the automotive megatrends is the most disruptive for used car markets
  • The importance of a TCO perspective for remarketing of alternative powertrain types
  • When used car markets will be ready to absorb EVs
  • Whether autonomous driving and advanced driver assistance systems will be differentiators for used car remarketing
  • What does the “agent model” mean for dealers and OEMs – how relevant will the network be in the future?

Hear from our experts:

  • Phil Curry, Editor, Autovista Group Daily Brief
  • Sonja Nehls, Managing Director Car To Market & Consulting at Autovista Group
  • Dr. Christof Engelskirchen, Chief Economist at Autovista Group

Webinar on demand – Europe’s used car markets: recovery from Covid-19

Hosted by a panel of Autovista Group experts, we explore in-depth the European used car market.

Get insight on:

  • Performance differences by age cluster – those segments that rising, stable or falling
  • How dealers are pricing and what is happening to the stock of used cars
  • The impact of government incentives on the remarketing values of electric vehicles
  • Residual values outlook across 19 markets for 2021 and 2022
  • What OEMs, fleet operators, leasing companies need to do in order to be best prepared for 2021 and 2022

Hear from our experts:

  • Dr. Christof Engelskirchen, Chief Economist, Autovista Group
  • João Areal, Head of Valuation, Eurotax Portugal
  • Robert Madas, Valuations and Insights Manager, Eurotax Austria and Switzerland
  • Johan Trus, Chief Editor, Autovista Sweden


Webinar on demand: Electric vehicles – the remarketing risk

Hosted by a panel of Autovista Group experts, we discuss what you should focus on in order to maximise the opportunities available and minimise the risk in your portfolio.

Get insight on:

  • The threats and opportunities posed by EV and Internal Combustion Engine (ICE) technologies within the French, German, Italian, Spanish and UK markets
  • How to use the opportunities around the electrification of automotive mobility to your advantage
  • Learnings from the world’s most mature EV market – Norway. Courtesy of Geir Kristoffersen, Managing Director of Rødboka (now part of Autovista Group)
  • How to adjust your scenario planning and quantify the remarketing risks for your portfolio

Hear from our experts:

  • Dr. Christof Engelskirchen, Chief Economist, Autovista Group
  • Ana Azofra, Valuation and Insights Manager, Autovista Spain
  • Andreas Geilenbrügge, Head of Valuations and Insights, Schwacke
  • Marco Pasquetti, Forecast and Data Specialist, Autovista Italy
  • Yoann Taitz, Operations and Valuations Director, Autovista France
  • Anthony Machin, Head of Content and Product, Glass’s
  • Geir Kristoffersen, Managing Director, Rødboka

Webinar on demand: COVID-19 residual value impact: the year ahead

Many European used car markets have been very resilient during the pandemic with demand outstripping supply, particularly for older used vehicles. Will used car markets expect more pressure towards the end of 2020 and beyond? What effect will rising infection rates and new restrictions have on the market? How long will these market conditions continue for?

Watch the webinar, where we present our latest update on how residual values will develop in a post-pandemic world.

Chaired by Phil Curry, Editor, Autovista Group Daily Brief.

Hear from our experts:

  • Dr. Christof Engelskirchen, Chief Economist, Autovista Group
  • Ana Azofra, Valuation and Insights Manager, Autovista Spain
  • Andreas Geilenbrügge, Head of Valuations and Insights, Schwacke
  • Joao Areal, Editorial Manager, Eurotax Portugal
  • Marcin Kardas, Head of Editorial Team, Eurotax Poland Ulmis Horchidan, Chief Editor, Eurotax Romania

In just 45 minutes, you will get insight on:

  • The latest outlook for RV performance across Europe for 2020-2022
  • Pressures facing used car markets
  • How to provide input into your scenario planning and quantify the residual value risks for your portfolio
  • What our experts have to say on European and specific country market conditions

Webinar on demand: COVID-19 residual value impact: where are we now

What impact will COVID-19 have on vehicle residual values in Europe 2020-2022?

With many European countries now easing lockdown restrictions, how have used car markets reacted? More importantly, what impact will the pandemic have on used car markets and residual values during the coming years? How substantial are the risks in your portfolio? What are the opportunities that lie ahead?

Key takeaways:

  • The scenarios used by Autovista Group to quantify residual value risks for 2020-2022
  • European and specific country market conditions for 18 countries in Europe, including the UK
  • The impact COVID-19 has had on used car markets
  • How to fine-tune your business plans and the counter measures needed for the coming 12-18 months

Hear from our experts:

  • Phil Curry, Editor, Daily Brief
  • Christof Engelskirchen, Chief Economist, Autovista Group
  • Robert Madas, Valuation and Insights Manager, Eurotax Austria & Switzerland
  • Zsolt Horvath, Operations Manager, Eurotax Hungary
  • Yoann Tiatz, Operations and Valuations Director, Autovista France
  • Marco Pasquetti, Forecast and Data Specialist, Autovista Italy
  • Johan Trus, Head of Data and Valuations, Autovista Nordics

The video is available on demand below.

Webinar on demand: What impact will COVID-19 have on vehicle residual values in Europe 2020-2022?

What impact will COVID-19 have on vehicle residual values in Europe 2020-2022?

With many European countries now easing lockdown restrictions, how have used car markets reacted? More importantly, what impact will the pandemic have on used car markets and residual values during the coming years? How substantial are the risks in your portfolio? What are the opportunities that lie ahead?

Key takeaways:

  • The scenarios used by Autovista Group to quantify residual value risks for 2020-2022
  • European and specific country market conditions for 18 countries in Europe, including the UK
  • The impact COVID-19 has had on used car markets
  • How to fine-tune your business plans and the counter measures needed for the coming 12-18 months

Hear from our experts:

  • Christof Engelskirchen, Chief Economist, Autovista Group
  • Ana Azofra, Valuation and Insights Manager, Autovista Spain
  • Andreas Geilenbrügge, Head of Valuations and Insights, Schwacke
  • Marcin Kardas, Head of Editorial Team, Autovista Polska
  • Anthony Machin, Head of Content and Product, Glass’s
  • Idesbald Vannieuwenhuyze, Chief Editor and Valuations Manager, Autovista Benelux